The sluggish pace of monsoon has further delayed its onset over Kerala to June 7, private weather forecaster Skymet has said, revising its earlier forecast date.
Skymet previously said the monsoon would reach Kerala, commencing the four-month rainfall season in the country, on June 4 with an error margin of plus or minus two days.
“(But) present weather conditions are indicating monsoon onset would be now around June 7, with an error margin of plus or minus 2 days,” Skymet said.
The India Meteorological Department has said the expected day of monsoon arrival over Kerala could happen on June 6, with an error margin of plus or minus four days.
Monsoon most likely to be normal this year: IMD
Though delayed, the Southwest monsoon is most likely to be normal this year, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said.
In its second stage of Long Range Forecast (LRF), the IMD has stated that the rainfall for the country as a whole would be 96 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA) for the four-month monsoon season.
While the monsoon is yet to make further advance after May 25 from Andaman and Nicobar, there are indications of its progress to Comorin regions and some parts of the Bay of Bengal over the upcoming 72 hours.
“The rainfall will be well distributed through the season and over all geographical regions. The Northeast region, that normally receives very heavy rainfall, will experience marginally less rainfall for the overall season,” said an IMD official.
With the sowing window for kharif crops opening with the onset of monsoon, IMD officials have stated that rainfall during July and August will be very good and should benefit farmers.