Met says India to experience ‘normal monsoon’ this year, better than 2017

New Delhi: Apart from east and northeast India, the entire country is likely to get normal monsoon this year.
East and northeast India are likely to witness “below normal” rainfall, the Met department said on Wednesday.
With this announcement, the MeT has kept its prediction of “normal” monsoon unchanged in its second stage long range forecast.

Officials said India is likely to receive a “better monsoon” than it did in 2017, with the entire country expected to see “normal rainfall” between 96% to 104% from June to September.

Monsoon hits Kerala 3 days ahead of schedule: IMD

In 2017, the country received 97% rainfall, which is considered normal.

“Quantitatively, the country is likely to receive 97% rainfall of long period average (LPA) with error estimate of plus-minus 4%. We are expecting better rainfall in 2018 than 2017,” IMD director general KJ Ramesh said.

Notably, anything between 90-96% of the the LPA is considered as “below normal” while rainfall in the range of 96-104% of the LPA is considered as “normal”.

Also, rainfall is considered as “deficient” if it ranges below 90% of the LPA and “above normal” if it falls between 104% to 110% of the LPA.

Above 110% of the LPA is considered as “excess” rainfall.

July is likely to be more rainy with rainfall over the country as a whole expected to be around 101%, while, August is likely to see 94% rainfall, the IMD said.

The IMD predictions are based on different technical models, with all suggesting normal rainfall, an official said.

(With agency inputs)