Dainik Bhaskar mega survey: Modi’s popularity intact, but people resentful of price rise, unemployment

85% respondents say Narendrabhai will ride back to power in 2019

New Delhi: The results of the country’s largest survey on the performance of the Modi government over the last four years, conducted by Dainik Bhaskar, have been released. The survey’s key conclusion is that the popularity of Prime Minister Narendra Modi is intact.

However, rising inflation and declining job growth have emerged as the biggest cause of popular resentment. According to 70 percent of people surveyed, Modi is still popular. According to 47 percent of them, he is even more popular than in 2014.

The overall performance of the Modi government was highly appreciated in the survey. 56 percent chose India’s rising credentials abroad as the government’s biggest achievement.

In the survey, 54 percent people have selected inflation and low job growth as the government’s biggest failures.

In the survey, 80 percent people supported the death sentence for those convicted of raping children below the age of 12.

Surgical strike biggest achievement

85 percent of the people believe that Modi will form the government again in the general elections to be held in 2019. 53 percent believe that even if the Opposition is united, it will not be able to beat Modi. Overall, the biggest achievement of Modi’s four years was the surgical strikes. An 82 percent majority said the surgical strikes were a good move. In response to another major question, 52 percent said that Rahul Gandhi is more mature than ever, although only 22 percent of them believe that he can give a tough fight to Modi in the 2019 elections.

The negative sentiment due to demonetisation and GST has ameliorated to an extent. In the 2017 survey, 52 percent of people had criticized note ban while  only 57 percent considered GST a good move. In this year’s survey, 64 percent of people said demonetisation was a success, while 70 percent believed GST to be successful.

Survey’s major findings 

1) Is Modi more popular than in 2014?

  • According to 47 percent respondents, Prime Minister Narendra Modi is more popular than in 2014.
  • 23 percent said Narendra Modi still as popular as before.
  • 30 percent said that Modi’s popularity has decreased compared to 2014.

2) Is Rahul now ready to confront Modi?

  • 48 percent said that Rahul has not changed and that he is no match for Modi.
  • 30 percent said that Rahul has matured, but cannot challenge Modi.
  • While 22 percent respondents said that Rahul has matured and can give Modi a fight.


3) Will Modi form government in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections?

  • 62 percent people said Modi will form the government on the strength of his own party.
  • According to 23 percent, a coalition led by Modi will form the government.
  • 15 percent people said that Modi would not be able to form the government again
  • In all, 85 percent believed Modi will form the government in 2019. In the Bhaskar survey last year, 91 percent of the respondents gave this answer to the same question.

4) Has Modi been successful in winning the trust of Muslims?

  • 68 percent believe Modi has succeeded. By eradicating triple talaq, Modi has gained the trust of Muslim women.
  • 21 percent believe that Modi has not been successful.
  • 11 percent said that Modi had no consideration for issues confronting the Muslims.

Opinion of residents of three states going to polls soon

While the survey shows the mood of the country, the findings have become even more important for the three states where assembly elections are going to be held later this year. Currently,  BJP is ruling in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. The trends reported in the survey can also help throw light on people’s opinions on local issues.

33 percent of the farmers involved in the survey said that the Modi government has failed to stop farmers’ suicides.  20 percent in Madhya Pradesh, 18 percent in Rajasthan and 17 percent respondents in Chhattisgarh have considered farmer suicides as Modi’s biggest failure.

If the overall rating of the performance of the Modi government is seen, Rajasthan has given Modi 9 points, which is higher than the country’s averge of 8 points. Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh have given Modi ratings according to the country’s mood. Rajasthan was the only state among the three where 37 percent of the respondents gave Modi 10 out of 10 points. In Gujarat, too, 36 percent gave Modi a perfect ten.



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